Following the leadership change in the Liberal Party, new PM Malcolm Turnbull has also changed the look of cabinet.
Sometimes, it can be too easy to understate the importance of a leader in shaping the direction a party moves in when trying to compensate for the fact that too much attention is paid to the leader in other matters by the media (and, by extension, the public). Yet here we see how important the leader is in pushing their party in one direction or another. Abbott, a true conservative with a conservative cabinet, has been replaced by Turnbull, a true liberal with a liberal cabinet.
In the media, this has generally been reported using the misnomer of Turnbull's cabinet having 'moderates', a false political terms that equates liberalism with a middle ground.
Those who have entered the cabinet are, for the most part, renowned more for their economic liberalism than anything else. These types tend to stay quieter on which way they lean socially, though that says plenty about them in and of itself. Scott Morrison is one of the few promoted who is openly conservative, but he's simply moving up the ranks within cabinet rather than coming in from the outer ministry or the backbenches.
Compare also those entering (such as Kelly O'Dwyer, Michaelia Cash and Josh Frydenberg) to those exiting (such as Tony Abbott, Kevin Andrews and Eric Abetz). The broad theme is clear: liberalism is good, conservatism is bad. The unique way the Liberal Party was brought about (as a merger of anti-socialist causes) has meant there has always been a delicate balancing act going on between the liberals and the conservatives. Malcolm Turnbull has made his intentions clear with his cabinet, although the given the party room is fairly equally split between the two he is unlikely to go for the jugular on issues conservatives are likely to revolt over (mostly being issues of society). Instead, he will probably focus on further liberalising the economy.
Case in point: lowering weekend penalty rates. This issue was first brought up by the Productivity Commission in August, but such an issue seemed to be the kind of thing Abbott's government would rather leave alone, or at least to those who cared more about it (which essentially consisted of economic liberals). Now, with Turnbull in charge, penalty rates are now at the forefront of the agenda. Not only has the Prime Minister said that it would be brought before cabinet, but two of the aforementioned new ministers (Cash and Frydenberg) have spoken out in favour of it.
From now until the election, we should expect this kind of policy focus. The economy is relatively safe ground, in that as long as it is doing well enough, the government can reap the electoral benefits. Social policy is far more likely to be contested, particularly amongst Liberal voters, and is therefore best avoided until the next term. Whether the people buy the message of economic reform, though, is another matter.
Showing posts with label liberal. Show all posts
Showing posts with label liberal. Show all posts
Saturday, 3 October 2015
Monday, 14 September 2015
'We have lost 30 Newspolls in a row'
Of all the things that have been and will be said about the latest in our cycle of prime ministerial changes, it is this quote by Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull (get used to that) that defines what this is all about.
Read it again.
'We have lost 30 Newspolls in a row.'
If you need to know how politicians treat their position, there it is. It is not about serving in office, as decided by the people; it is about 'winning power', about being in front at all times, regardless of what that means for the nation in the long term. It is about style over substance, even if that requires using the idea of substance as your style, as Turnbull seems eager to do.
There is plenty more that can be said about this event. As I type, the Prime Minister has claimed that he is 'humbled' by his party's choice. This is hardly a shining example of humility. But, also occurring as I type, Turnbull is making clear that he desires a traditional Cabinet style of government. If he manages to balance the modern stylism with traditional Cabinet government, he will have done well.
But it is curious to claim that this was not about leadership style tonight, but instead about internal culture, after claiming only hours ago that the Australian people had pronounced judgement on the government...which is primarily, today, a matter of style.
'We have lost 30 Newspolls in a row.'
I suspect Turnbull will be hoping this quote disappears into the ether. He must demonstrate that his government is not purely guided by the polls, if he is truly about 'the future'.
Read it again.
'We have lost 30 Newspolls in a row.'
If you need to know how politicians treat their position, there it is. It is not about serving in office, as decided by the people; it is about 'winning power', about being in front at all times, regardless of what that means for the nation in the long term. It is about style over substance, even if that requires using the idea of substance as your style, as Turnbull seems eager to do.
There is plenty more that can be said about this event. As I type, the Prime Minister has claimed that he is 'humbled' by his party's choice. This is hardly a shining example of humility. But, also occurring as I type, Turnbull is making clear that he desires a traditional Cabinet style of government. If he manages to balance the modern stylism with traditional Cabinet government, he will have done well.
But it is curious to claim that this was not about leadership style tonight, but instead about internal culture, after claiming only hours ago that the Australian people had pronounced judgement on the government...which is primarily, today, a matter of style.
'We have lost 30 Newspolls in a row.'
I suspect Turnbull will be hoping this quote disappears into the ether. He must demonstrate that his government is not purely guided by the polls, if he is truly about 'the future'.
Thursday, 26 March 2015
Malcolm Fraser, media confounder
The sudden passing of Malcolm Fraser, Australia's 22nd Prime Minister, has resulted in journalists across the nation scribbling away furiously in their attempts to summarise the man's political life.
These summaries have all covered similar ground in trying to explain Fraser. 'Fraser transformed himself from the patrician Liberal...to a vocal proponent for progressive causes often at odds with his own party.' said the Guardian. News stated that he 'a public transformation occurred after he lost office,' as did the Conversation, more than once. Yahoo7 claimed he became 'an unlikely hero of the Left.' InDaily called him a 'paradox'.
So, what is it about Fraser that seems to have confounded the media? Why did Miranda Devine describe him as having moved 'from extreme right to extreme left'? Well, I can't explain all of that, as I do not know how anything Fraser did could be described as either, but the gist of what she is saying is what they're all saying - he was a PM on the 'right', and once he retired he became 'left'.
So, what did Fraser do?
Firstly, let's look at his record as Prime Minister. Economically, Fraser was expected at the time to be part of the emerging neo-liberal dominance across the West, and criticism of him at the time was along these lines. In hindsight, this didn't occur. In actual fact, Fraser was a moderating force against neo-liberal elements within his party and the public service. Fraser, like many politicians of his immediate post-war era, had a Keynesian economic view, which he blended with classic liberal beliefs. This kind of in-between position meant that his public service cuts were too big to some, and not big enough to others. Medibank was not eradicated, but slowly dismantled. Family benefits came in as tax rebates for dependent children were abolished. Government spending slowed, but never deliberately shrunk.
On deregulation, Fraser's government was more pliant. Exchange rates, interest rates, foreign bank entries and control over capital movements were all deregulated under Fraser's government to some degree. None of these were total, and in actual fact it took until the Hawke/Keating duumvirate came into power before these were completed. But it was under Fraser that these plans got going, before the Treasury and Reserve Bank thought it was necessary.
By today's standards, none of this can be considered especially 'right'. Furthermore, even at the time he was at odds with younger members of his party (including Treasurer John Howard) who wanted harder cuts. The gently, gently approach to economics has been argued as one of the reasons the economy collapsed in Fraser's later years. But the fact that it was a Labor government who managed to push through deregulation, and a Liberal government avoided doing so, suggests that perhaps the difference between the parties isn't as clear as it often stated.
When it comes to social policies, Fraser's strengths were in areas that weren't overly politicised at the time. Human rights (especially for Aborigines) and immigration issues were not a source of political division. For the most part, Fraser carried on where the Whitlam government had left off, who had in turn carried on from the previous Liberal governments. In fact, immigration and human rights had never been a particularly partisan issue. After all, the union movement was a strong supporter of the White Australia policy. As the policy was removed, the parties moved as well. It is only in recent years that it has become an issue that the parties heavily disagree on.
That's not to say there weren't elements who disagreed with the open immigration policies of the Fraser government. But, interestingly, those elements didn't come from his party, but from the public service. It was the Department of Immigration who first became alarmed about people arriving by boat, and suggested that the boats either be stopped before they arrived, or that those arriving be sent to a 'reception centre', as they were 'queue jumpers'. Cabinet did not take these suggestions up.
He was also an early environmentalist, successfully protecting Kakadu, Fraser Island and the Great Barrier Reef with certain policies. This, again, is supposedly at odds with today's 'right'. He also pushed for the Franklin River to be protected from damming, although this was also something not completed until the Hawke government.
These economic and social policies followed Fraser into foreign policy. He pushed for free trade, which Australia needed as an raw material exporter, while also taking the forefront in promoting majority rule in Rhodesia.
Fraser's time as Prime Minister, then, may actually be a bit confusing for anyone trying to view it under the lens of the left-right spectrum. Economically, he attempting to walk the line between liberalism and Keynesianism. Socially, he focused on issues that were, at the time, bilateral, and today are arguably leaning to the 'left'. Despite this, it's claimed he was just another typical 'right' politician. This suggests either collective memory loss, or a failure in the portrayal of our politics.
But there was more to this. Fraser was meant to have moved from 'right' to 'left' after leaving the Parliament. We know he already wasn't 'right' in Parliament, but did he change his beliefs after leaving anyway?
Put simply - no. Fraser rarely commented on economic matters after he left office, but his foreign policy beliefs suggested that nothing changed. But on social issues, he was vigourous in his support of human rights, working for various think tanks and becoming particularly involved in South Africa's transition away from apartheid. He became increasingly critical of the politics of Australia, especially that of his own party, regarding immigration. By 2009, he had had enough, and left the Liberals after Malcolm Turnbull lost the leadership.
One area that he did move on was his policy towards the US. During the Cold War, he was suspicious of the USSR and not a supporter of detente, allying himself to the US and previous governments had. But in later life he began suggesting that Australia move away from its close ties with the US, instead being a more independent nation. In actuality, this fits in well with his foreign policy in office, which attempted to place Australia in a greater position in world politics. This is also about as close as it gets to a movement to the 'left'.
There have been suggestions that the Liberal Party moved away from Fraser, which is a reasonable argument. Neo-liberalism has slowly taken root without the party, though there's always the sense that there are plenty of members that aren't huge fans of it. Human rights issues, on the other hand, have become major partisan issues, which has changed the nature of politics in this country.
But this does not account for the initial description of Fraser as being of the 'right'. Fraser's classic liberalism meant he was, at the time, a natural member of the Liberal Party - but the Liberal Party was not always 'right' in the same way it is implied. That Fraser should be suggested to be such is a failure of the left-right spectrum, and as long as it is used, the media will be unable to grasp the nature of liberalism correctly.
These summaries have all covered similar ground in trying to explain Fraser. 'Fraser transformed himself from the patrician Liberal...to a vocal proponent for progressive causes often at odds with his own party.' said the Guardian. News stated that he 'a public transformation occurred after he lost office,' as did the Conversation, more than once. Yahoo7 claimed he became 'an unlikely hero of the Left.' InDaily called him a 'paradox'.
So, what is it about Fraser that seems to have confounded the media? Why did Miranda Devine describe him as having moved 'from extreme right to extreme left'? Well, I can't explain all of that, as I do not know how anything Fraser did could be described as either, but the gist of what she is saying is what they're all saying - he was a PM on the 'right', and once he retired he became 'left'.
So, what did Fraser do?
Firstly, let's look at his record as Prime Minister. Economically, Fraser was expected at the time to be part of the emerging neo-liberal dominance across the West, and criticism of him at the time was along these lines. In hindsight, this didn't occur. In actual fact, Fraser was a moderating force against neo-liberal elements within his party and the public service. Fraser, like many politicians of his immediate post-war era, had a Keynesian economic view, which he blended with classic liberal beliefs. This kind of in-between position meant that his public service cuts were too big to some, and not big enough to others. Medibank was not eradicated, but slowly dismantled. Family benefits came in as tax rebates for dependent children were abolished. Government spending slowed, but never deliberately shrunk.
On deregulation, Fraser's government was more pliant. Exchange rates, interest rates, foreign bank entries and control over capital movements were all deregulated under Fraser's government to some degree. None of these were total, and in actual fact it took until the Hawke/Keating duumvirate came into power before these were completed. But it was under Fraser that these plans got going, before the Treasury and Reserve Bank thought it was necessary.
By today's standards, none of this can be considered especially 'right'. Furthermore, even at the time he was at odds with younger members of his party (including Treasurer John Howard) who wanted harder cuts. The gently, gently approach to economics has been argued as one of the reasons the economy collapsed in Fraser's later years. But the fact that it was a Labor government who managed to push through deregulation, and a Liberal government avoided doing so, suggests that perhaps the difference between the parties isn't as clear as it often stated.
When it comes to social policies, Fraser's strengths were in areas that weren't overly politicised at the time. Human rights (especially for Aborigines) and immigration issues were not a source of political division. For the most part, Fraser carried on where the Whitlam government had left off, who had in turn carried on from the previous Liberal governments. In fact, immigration and human rights had never been a particularly partisan issue. After all, the union movement was a strong supporter of the White Australia policy. As the policy was removed, the parties moved as well. It is only in recent years that it has become an issue that the parties heavily disagree on.
That's not to say there weren't elements who disagreed with the open immigration policies of the Fraser government. But, interestingly, those elements didn't come from his party, but from the public service. It was the Department of Immigration who first became alarmed about people arriving by boat, and suggested that the boats either be stopped before they arrived, or that those arriving be sent to a 'reception centre', as they were 'queue jumpers'. Cabinet did not take these suggestions up.
He was also an early environmentalist, successfully protecting Kakadu, Fraser Island and the Great Barrier Reef with certain policies. This, again, is supposedly at odds with today's 'right'. He also pushed for the Franklin River to be protected from damming, although this was also something not completed until the Hawke government.
These economic and social policies followed Fraser into foreign policy. He pushed for free trade, which Australia needed as an raw material exporter, while also taking the forefront in promoting majority rule in Rhodesia.
Fraser's time as Prime Minister, then, may actually be a bit confusing for anyone trying to view it under the lens of the left-right spectrum. Economically, he attempting to walk the line between liberalism and Keynesianism. Socially, he focused on issues that were, at the time, bilateral, and today are arguably leaning to the 'left'. Despite this, it's claimed he was just another typical 'right' politician. This suggests either collective memory loss, or a failure in the portrayal of our politics.
But there was more to this. Fraser was meant to have moved from 'right' to 'left' after leaving the Parliament. We know he already wasn't 'right' in Parliament, but did he change his beliefs after leaving anyway?
Put simply - no. Fraser rarely commented on economic matters after he left office, but his foreign policy beliefs suggested that nothing changed. But on social issues, he was vigourous in his support of human rights, working for various think tanks and becoming particularly involved in South Africa's transition away from apartheid. He became increasingly critical of the politics of Australia, especially that of his own party, regarding immigration. By 2009, he had had enough, and left the Liberals after Malcolm Turnbull lost the leadership.
One area that he did move on was his policy towards the US. During the Cold War, he was suspicious of the USSR and not a supporter of detente, allying himself to the US and previous governments had. But in later life he began suggesting that Australia move away from its close ties with the US, instead being a more independent nation. In actuality, this fits in well with his foreign policy in office, which attempted to place Australia in a greater position in world politics. This is also about as close as it gets to a movement to the 'left'.
There have been suggestions that the Liberal Party moved away from Fraser, which is a reasonable argument. Neo-liberalism has slowly taken root without the party, though there's always the sense that there are plenty of members that aren't huge fans of it. Human rights issues, on the other hand, have become major partisan issues, which has changed the nature of politics in this country.
But this does not account for the initial description of Fraser as being of the 'right'. Fraser's classic liberalism meant he was, at the time, a natural member of the Liberal Party - but the Liberal Party was not always 'right' in the same way it is implied. That Fraser should be suggested to be such is a failure of the left-right spectrum, and as long as it is used, the media will be unable to grasp the nature of liberalism correctly.
Thursday, 26 February 2015
The problem with Q&A politics
Q&A
has been a staple of Australia's media and political landscape
since its inception in 2008. Based on the BBC's long running Question
Time, the show has seemingly
given the public a stronger voice regarding important political,
economic and social issues. It consistently rates well for its
timeslot (around 900,000 in total), and every Monday night, like
clockwork, #QandA will be trending on Twitter.
So, it sounds like the show is a win for everyone, right?
Wrong.
There are many people who could potentially benefit from a show like
this. In theory, all Australians should be reaping the rewards of
such a show, in some way or another. Holding politicians to account,
and bringing important community issues and opinions to the forefront
should be a good thing.
But
in reality, Q&A
simply is not the broad ranging, powerful and interesting place of
discussion that it attempts to be. It does not benefit all those it
should. Most importantly, it quite often cannot break through the
increasingly bland political discourse this country is full of,
instead being a vehicle for it.
The ABC loves Q&A. And why wouldn't they? It's one of
their highest rating programmes and isn't particularly expensive to
produce. In an era when they (unfortunately) need to keep justifying
their existence, the ABC can point to Q&A as one of their
great successes. It also keeps them 'in the conversation' on social
media, which is of ever increasing value.
The other people who quite enjoy Q&A are the major parties.
Specifically, the more prominent members of these parties, some of
whom can attribute their prominence directly to their almost constant
rotation into the show. Gone are the days of Rudd and Hockey, Gillard
and Abbott being all jovial on morning television to get people to
pay attention to them. No, these days Q&A is the lightning rod
for political discussion instead – something surely confirmed by
Today host Lisa Wilkinson appearing on the show last Monday.
We've gone from politicians making small talk on morning shows to
morning show hosts having serious discussions about politics.
And when I say constant rotation, I do mean constant rotation. Of the
top ten most frequently appearing guests (to the end of 2014), nine
of them were part of either the ALP or the Coalition. Of the top
twenty, seventeen are from the two majors. The remaining three are
two journalists from The Australian (Janet Albrechtsen and
Greg Sheridan) and the leader of the Greens, Christine Milne. Of the
44 episodes to air in 2014, 28 featured a member from both of the
major parties. Of the remaining 16, three were one-person specials
(of which two of those featured government ministers) and eleven were
specials focusing on a particular topic, mostly featuring people
relevant to the topic. That leaves a whole two 'regular' episodes of
five panellists talking about the big issues of the week.
To be fair to the ABC, they do seem to have tried a bit harder in
recent years to make sure that people outside of the major parties
are the focus of episodes from time to time. Thirteen episodes with a
member from each of the major parties is a significant step up from
2010, where only four of the 41 episodes featured a five member panel
and did not include two major party politicians. But it's still not
enough. By making the specials into the episodes without the majors,
it places the episodes with the majors as the status quo, and,
politically speaking, that is the problem.
There is not necessarily anything wrong with having politicians on
the show regularly. In fact, it is a good thing that they are willing
to show up and answer questions, especially members of the
government. But there is something wrong with having one from each
party on the show basically every week. The problem is this: it
reinforces the idea of two parties in total opposition to one
another. Q&A is not at fault for this idea gaining
traction – it is embedded into the current Australian political
system – but the programme does little to challenge it either. For
example, last week's show saw Jamie Briggs (Assistant Infrastructure
Minister) and Chris Bowen (Shadow Treasurer) sit either side of Tony
Jones. The two of them managed to degenerate into petty arguments a
number of times, which is business as usual between the two majors on
the show. Furthermore, the two nearly managed to speak as much as
Alan Jones, which is quite an achievement in itself. Normally, when
someone not so happy to talk until the cows come home is on, the two
pollies will be the ones with the most airtime. Neither of these
things are healthy for political discourse.
By placing them on either side of Jones and allowing them to snipe at
each other, they become the centre of our attention, and our
attention is being drawn to whatever political point they want to
score. How can we have good political discourse when the dominant
parties' idea of discourse is stale one-liners and repeated talking
points? All that the viewer sees is that a) these are our only
choices for government and b) our choices aren't very good. What is
even more problematic is that these tired talking points are
inevitably the things that get the most airtime. On a typical five
person panel, there will be these two politicians, an expert of some
kind, an artist/comedian/writer type, and a wild card (could be a
journo, another expert, another politician, another artiste, anything
really). The other three may all have something interesting to say,
or only some of them, but often they only get one or two chances to
properly answer a question. The two politicians will almost always
take up the most time, and the result is a diluted discussion.
There is another problem. I said earlier that it was specifically the
prominent members of major parties who like Q&A at the
moment. The reason for this is that the show is all about
individuals. Individuals are asked questions, individuals answer the
questions. How they answer the questions, and not necessarily what
they actually say, will determine how people think about them. The
more important the individual, the more weight is put to their
answer, and the more focus is paid to their answer after the show is
over. Again, this is not necessarily a bad thing. In fact, the more
members of parliament the public is aware of, the better. However,
when you're trying to engage in important political discussion, is a
televised forum the best place to do it? Does the policy remain as
the focus? You may have heard of the classic debate between John F.
Kennedy and Richard Nixon, where those listening on radio believed
Nixon won, but those watching on television believed Kennedy
performed better. The latter was, quite literally, about style over
substance, and that is what the medium of television is built for. If
you can combine the two, great, but time and time again we see
politicians picking style first. A pithy soundbite for the evening
news will be more effective at grabbing attention, after all.
So when you bring two politicians from parties vying for government
and put them in front of a television camera, and you tell them to
speak freely, do you really expect them to go into any great,
significant detail about their vision for the country? Because as it
stands now, you probably shouldn't. The style wins over the
substance, and such is the media cycle of today that the style has
actually become the substance.
But how can I say that Q&A sets the tone for political
discussion in this country, and that it turns the focus from the
parties and their policies towards the individuals and their image?
Well, let's look at a recent example. One of the people joining
Wilkinson on the panel on Monday was Malcolm Turnbull. Turnbull has
been at the centre of leadership speculation since the spill motion
was called against the Prime Minister recently. He was meant to
appear on the show as the Minister for Communications, which he did,
but for many in the media in the days since, his appearance was
really about presenting himself as 'alternative Prime Minister', a
nonsense title that is endemic of the focus of personality that the
media so loves.
For the next couple of days, his appearance on the programme was a major talking point for the media. David Crowe in The Australian claimed that his performance offered an alternative to Abbott's leadership. Mark Kenny for Fairfax proclaimed that the fight between potential Prime Ministers was the most interesting part of federal politics. Catherine McGrath from SBS called Turnbull a flirt. Most importantly, News Ltd proclaimed his performance as being 'Prime Ministerial', which is basically meant to be our version of 'Presidential' (even though the PM is not like a President). Here we see how easily Q&A set the tone for discussion in federal politics for the rest of the week. And what of this is not about image? What of this is not focussed on the individual?
What of this does not, little by little, weaken our political system every time it happens?
So, how do you fix these problems? Well, I have a few ideas, but I'm
sure there are more. I'm also sure the ABC isn't that interested in
them, but no matter. First, don't have a pollie from each major party
on every week. When you do have one on, you don't have to have one
from the other on for the sake of 'balance'. Make Jones, or whoever
is moderating, clamp down on the soundbites that they so love. If you
have two on (which will be fine occasionally), make them sit next to
each other. Put them on one end of the desk. They're not going to be
as likely to have a go at each other if they are physically next to
one another, and they won't be the centre of attention if they're way
down one end.
Television's place as a visual platform means that it is difficult to change the focus back to being about policy instead of image. This means that it is up to the media to stop focusing so much on what does and doesn't look good, and to instead hone in on the substance. Ultimately, Q&A can't change too much. Not because it's so
great that it shouldn't be changed, but rather that it's a difficult
format to change. These little changes would be positive, but you're
not going to suddenly improve the quality of discussion tenfold. The
show simply isn't designed for anything too high level. It's a fine
balancing act between levels of acceptable style and substance, and
I'm sure the ABC will have many more years to tweak it.
Well, as long as the government doesn't privatise it.
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